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pywong
11th March 2009, 07:18 AM
It is reported here (http://www.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2009/3/10/minibudget/20090310161134&sec=minibudget) that Najib is proposing a RM 60 Billion Budget stimulus.

Let's have a quick look at the numbers:

Original 2009 budget: RM 206 B (budget deficit 4.8% GDP)
First Stimulus I: RM 7 B (1% GDP)
Mini-budget RM 60 B/2 years: RM 30 B (4.5% GDP)
Estimated revenue shortfall: RM 100 B (14% GDP)

(RM 50 B due to fall in oil price, RM 10 B due to fall in palm oil price, RM 40 B due to reduced exports in other sectors)

This is a budget deficit exceeding 24% of GDP.

The questions we need to ask ourselves:

1. Can we trust UMNO to handle our money honestly? Can we expect the money to be properly spent if UMNO still maintain their current patronage system of politics?

2. Why are we increasing the govt staff by another 63,000? At 1.2 million, our bureaucracy is one of the highest in the world and is suffocating private business with their red-tape and corruption. We can stimulate the economy much better by reducing red-tape.

As Isa Rahim has said, one of the big bug-bears is the customs department at all the ports of entry. Their inefficiency and corruption increases the cost to the consumer significantly.

3. RM 480 million is to be handed over to the Toll Concessionaires, which we know is a financial sleight of hand to pass money to the UMNO cronies.

4. RM 5 B to be drawn from the public through a Savings Bond with 5% interest rate. We, the Rats, will be suckers if we take it up. Inflation will reduce the value of the RM. That will depend on how much the USD crashes, and crash it will.

5. Why bother with tourism when the Federal Ministry of Tourism cannot even co-operate with the PR State Tourism because of their politics of revenge? Remove this impediment. That is a better indication of sincerity to help the tourism sector.

6. Who is going to pay for all these deficits? Our children and grand-children?

What is the solution?

1. Cut down on your expenses to the bare minimum.
2. Put all your savings in gold to protect its purchasing power.

Consumer spending usually accounts for a significant amount of the economy. If we stop spending the reduction in growth will squeeze the economy so hard that eventually, UMNO will fall.

Let's do it. Short-term pain for long-term gain!

pywong
11th March 2009, 05:00 PM
WSJ: Najib signals return to ‘Big Govt’

MARCH 11 – The man slated to take over Malaysia’s government later this month hasn’t said much about his economic philosophy. But with the announcement of a 60 ringgit (US$16 billion) stimulus package yesterday, one thing is clear: Najib Razak is no free-market reformer.

More… (http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/index.php/malaysia/20066-najib-signals-return-to-big-govt)

Stimulus is big but sceptics still doubtful
By Lee Wei Lian

KUALA LUMPUR, March 11 — Despite the surprisingly large figure of RM60 billion, the mini-budget has not drawn applause from many business analysts and industry groups.

The chief complaints about the stimulus package are the lack of direct assistance in the form of tax cuts or cash grants, and a wariness over the lack of details and monitoring system to track spending of the allocations.

It was widely hoped that Malaysia would follow countries such as Singapore and Taiwan and implement corporate tax cuts to boost corporate earnings as well as income tax cuts to help boost disposable household income.

.........Businesses not impressed. (http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/index.php/business/20095-stimulus-is-big-but-sceptics-still-doubtful)

pywong
12th March 2009, 03:25 PM
Najib will have to walk around with crash helmet soon.

Harsh words for RM60b rescue plan

KUALA LUMPUR, March 12 — A day after the biggest stimulus package was unveiled by Deputy Premier Datuk Seri Najib Razak, it appears that few people have anything good to say about it.

The opposition, and even some leaders within the ruling Barisan Nasional coalition, have begun to poke holes in it. They said the RM60 billion mini budget failed to focus on remaking the economy, or addressing corruption and cronyism.

Critics also said it did not do enough to give an immediate jolt to the economy by putting money into people's pockets to help them make ends meet, and stimulate domestic demand.

More… (http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/index.php/malaysia/20149-harsh-words-for-rm60b-rescue-plan)

pywong
12th March 2009, 06:51 PM
12 Mar 09, Vijay Kumar (Malaysia) wrote

Why I am disgusted by the RM60bil stimulus package.

The stimulus package is not transparent enough to comment on with regards to if it would work or not, but RM 60 bil is not enough to stimulate a RM350bil economy that relies heavily on exports and FDI, its like trying to boil water in a swimming pool using an electric kettle.

We are running a budget deficit -in short spending money we have not earned yet to finance this stimulus more so when our earnings from commodities are on a downward trend.

It is also foolish to bail out national automaker Proton, we lose far more disposable income nationally than Proton can hope to provide in terms of employment and other economic spin-offs. A car industry for a population of less than 30 million such as ours is simply not viable, the only way it survives is by unfair competition.

"Proton is an anachronism in the automobile industry and it's not going to survive over the long term," says Graeme Maxton, Asia analyst for consultancy Autopolis in Hong Kong. http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/05_30/b3944068.htm

More… (http://www.facebook.com/topic.php?topic=7965&uid=6778953884)

pywong
12th March 2009, 09:07 PM
http://tindakmalaysia.com/tm_forums2008/index.php/topic,822.msg3525.html#msg3525