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Thread: PROJEK CINTA: Security - Be Prepared

  1. #1
    Join Date
    Oct 2008

    PROJEK CINTA: Security - Be Prepared

    In a crisis situation, this knowledge can be a matter of life and death. Jim Sinclair has kindly prepared a series of articles to help us.

    File in 1.17 Security

    Parts Title Key Ideas

    1 Be Prepared Basic ideas on how to get ready

    2 Leave or Stay in an Emergency Where to go?

    3 Food What types?

    4 Precious Metals Gold and silver

    5 Barter Survival or civil

    1. Be Prepared

    November 9th, 2016 at 8:30 PM (CST) by Jim Sinclair & filed under General Editorial.Key Points:

    1. Getting out of the system (GOTS)
    2. Being prepared for an emergency
    3. Be prepared and not need it
    4. Money
    5. Money Alternatives
    6. Barter
    7. Neighborhoods/Neighbors
    8. Defense and personal safety
    9. Location (present)
    10. Location (desirable)
    11. Location (type/optimal)
    12. Food
    13. Health and Home safety
    14. Financial information backup
    15. Mental preparedness
    16. Physical preparedness
    17. Emotional preparedness
    18. Spiritual preparedness

    Originally posted January 5th, 2016

    Dear Extended Family and Friends,

    JSMineset is an educational site which presents information throughout the year for your consideration. The information provided can be about precious metals, the markets, geopolitical events and other topics and articles of general information. This is a free information service open to everyone.

    Today, I would like to share with you an outline and some suggestions to consider about general emergency preparedness. We have written about getting out of the system (GOTS). Getting out of the system completely isn’t possible for most people. Getting out of the system, (and to what degree) and having precious metals isn’t going to be enough to keep you safe in an emergency situation. Being prepared for an emergency is something we all need to consider. Preparedness can be for any emergency. Preparedness can be for any crisis. It can be for a natural disaster like and earthquake in California, or a hurricane on the Eastern US, a power outage, a credit or currency crisis, or a terrorist attack, etc. The disruption of services (utilities, transportation, commerce, etc.) we depend on can create societal conditions in which we may need to depend on ourselves and our personal resources. Our wellbeing and the wellbeing of our loved ones may depend on our preparedness in the times to come. Precious metals alone won’t be enough to keep us safe from harm.

    The main thing about preparedness is that regardless of the emergency, for the most part, preparedness is the basically the same. The second thing about preparedness is that, it is better to be prepared and not need it, than to need it and not be prepared. The third thing about preparedness is that it will do no harm. Being prepared for any emergency is like insurance. You hope that you never need it, yet you acquire insurance because you prefer the protection and peace of mind it offers. In this, you prepare for the worst, but hope for the best. You get the insurance, but hope you never need it. If you do need it – it can be priceless.

    In hearing your concerns, we have prepared an outline of things to consider, and some suggestions to assist you in being prepared for disruptions in world conditions the future may bring.

    Money – Most of us understand that precious metals are real money. Precious metals are not dependent on a government’s promise to do anything or pay anyone. Precious metals have no national borders and are a store of value and medium of exchange. Having precious metals is an important part of preparedness, yet you can’t eat a Krugerrand and you can’t defend yourself with silver eagles. There is much more to preparedness than possessing precious metals. Precious metals alone are not enough to be truly prepared for an emergency, but possessing them is an important step. Having some junk silver coins in your possession can be a readily accepted medium of exchange for goods and services. Even so, during a period of chaos or disruption of essential services, we need to plan further. Since most people readily accept paper currency, it is a good idea to have a month of dollars, or euros, etc. in your possession to pay for your needs. Paper currency is for transactions. Precious metals are for a store of wealth to be used when paper currencies fail. Three months of paper currency is better, but enough paper currency to pay bills for a month is a first aim. Having cash on hand could aid you and your loved ones enormously. If you couldn’t access an ATM, and your credit/debit card didn’t work, how well off would you be if it happened in this moment – without a moments notice? How much currency would you have to live? Some people live from ATM transaction to ATM transaction or rarely use cash at all. Consider what you would do if you had no credit or debit cards, or electronic ability to pay.

    Money Alternatives – If you don’t have cash on hand, you are in the majority, but there are still things you can do. If you look at the historical currency crises of the world there are other things you can keep and stock up a little at a time which can act as money in an emergency. These are alternatives other than gold and silver. Consider keeping money alternative items like liquor, ammunition, seeds, guns, food, weaponry and even things like cigarettes and over the counter medicines. Alternatives to money can be obtained in small increments. In the hyperinflation experienced in Argentina in the 1990′s the small airline bottles of liquor were as good as gold. They were cheap to buy before the financial crisis, but almost impossible to get when the crisis hit. Money alternatives are a step to another method of securing what you need, but it is more a money alternative that is generally acceptable than it is actual barter.

    Barter – Barter is a form of money alternative in which goods and services are exchanged. The problem with barter is that in urban and suburban areas, there isn’t a tradition of barter as there is in more rural and agrarian cultures. Most communities in the US today have local Internet networking sites like internet community bulletin boards, and front porch forums. Many are hosted by civic groups or religious organizations. See what is available in your area and perhaps check with your public library or see what bulletin board groups put ads on sites like These can easily be googled and you can subscribe to a bulletin board in your area. You may find an internet location to buy, sell, swap and trade information in your local community. These sites also allow for easy community networking and getting to know your neighbors, and their skill sets. If interested, a google search will reveal what is available in your community. When looking for community bulletin boards, be discerning about your privacy. Use common sense, and practice safe internet practices with your personal information.

    Neighborhoods/Neighbors – Get to know your neighbors or others of common interest and like minded people in the location where you live. Neighborhood organizations can be valuable in protecting yourself, and your family in your community. Knowing your neighbors is a good start toward self and home defense in a situation of civil unrest. Know the people around you with whom you have things in common. Getting to know people in an emergency isn’t the best time to meet and greet. Safety is every communities business. Be discrete about your own preparedness, and your planning, but share general preparedness information.

    Defense and personal safety – This includes the safety of those you love. This is a highly personal topic and will depend greatly on where you live and what you have available. It will be determined largely by your personal values and resources. If possible, plan for and consider having a dog. A dog is not only an intelligent alarm system, it is a first line of defense. Your canine alarm system doesn’t shut down in a power outage and it serves you selflessly. If you are comfortable with guns then consider fire arms with appropriate training for safety and use. The best fire arm is the one with which you are most comfortable. Stock ammunition. Without ammunition, a firearm is only a club. Many states, like the state of Virginia this week intend not to honor concealed carry permits. Be aware of the gun laws in your jurisdiction and be law abiding if you choose fire arms. The most likely to kill you item in the USA isn’t a gun, it is a blunt force object – hammers, baseball bats, clubs, etc. If you feel you can use a blunt force object against an attacker in your home, then have some. In a home invasion, you have a certain advantage. You know the inside of your home, and (usually) an intruder doesn’t. Take a self defense course. Studying martial arts is a wonderful discipline, but it takes years of training and practice to be effective and skilled at it. If permitted by law in your area, consider a tazer, stun gun or a mace/pepper spray and know how to use them. Ask local law enforcement what is lawful and what may be appropriate for yourself and your circumstances in and emergency situation. These are things to consider and there are lots of sites on the internet devoted to the subject of self and home defense. Remember in any self defense method you choose, you must practice. Repetition is the mother of skill, and you need to be skillful in your defenses.

    Location (present) – Right now your location is your neighborhood. Have a meeting plan with your loved ones to meet at a specified location in an emergency. This is no different than teaching children fire drills in the home when the smoke detector alarm sounds. You have a meeting place close by where everyone goes and you do a head count. In an emergency, loved ones may be in anywhere. Have a predetermined, specific meeting place in the event communications are not available. Create a safety plan for your family and the location to meet. Searching for loved ones in an emergency can be a very stressful and time consuming undertaking. It is best to have a plan which is not communications dependent. In an emergency, communications systems may not be reliable. Consider a telephone contact person to accept calls outside of your present location. Outside calls may go through if local lines of communications are too jammed with calls. Family outside of your present location may be a good choice for a communications check-in for loved ones.

    Location (desirable) – if possible seek a location where you can retreat which is not in an urban or suburban area. Have enough stabilized fuel to get there without stopping to refuel. Have paper copies of maps and know how to read them. In any period of disruption or social unrest, have a rural location to go to with your family. Move to a location not in an urban/suburban setting, if possible. Rural areas are more stable and less dependent upon public services and trucking for food and other necessities.

    Location (type/optimal) – farmland is a good investment. Farms are the foundation of any sustainable society. Food is necessary to support life. Learn to grow food, and if you can’t relocate – grow a garden. Consider a container garden or square foot, raised bed garden if you have only a small space. Any garden is preferable to none. If you can’t grow food, or don’t want to, then live in or near locations where food is grown. Get to know farmers. This will help to assure your continued food supply. An optimal location is a place not dependent on trucking or other shipping to acquire food. In the Wiemar Republic, farmers refused to travel into city areas for fear or robbery.

    Food – Look around in your kitchen or pantry and see what you have on hand right now. Estimate how long it would last if it was all you had. Most grocery stores only have enough food for a couple of days, and store shelves could empty fast in an emergency. Consider storing some food. Even if you can’t afford much right now, or don’t have much space, put some things aside which are shelf stable every time you shop. Purchase items which can last on the shelf for months or longer. If you can, buy storage food units from a reputable shelf stable food vendor. Be sure to consider babies, pets, and anyone in the home with special dietary needs. Stock up slowly if you need to, and dedicate just a closet for this purpose if space is limited. In storing food, the things you need to protect against are vermin (mice, insects, etc), temperature extremes and moisture. Build up your larder slowly if you can’t buy what you need all at one time. Aim at a stock pile food for three(3) months. Be sure to consider how reliable your water supply is. Know what has the potential to impair the delivery system (power outages, etc.) If you do not have water in a power outage, store water, or know where to obtain potable water nearby. If you don’t know how to make water safe to drink, learn three methods to make water safe for consumption in an emergency situation. Store what you will eat, and you will eat what you store. The nice thing about storing food is that your worst case scenario is that you eat it. If you decide you don’t want or need it down the road, you can always donate it to a church, soup kitchen or other charity and get a receipt for a tax credit.

    Health and Home safety – Stock needed medicines, and prescription medicines if possible, with bathroom and personal hygiene needs. Have a first aid kit and know some first aid by reading the pamphlet in the first aid kit. Have additional eye glasses and a eye glass repair kit. Consider cloth diapers and baby needs. Be sure to have a working fire extinguisher and smoke/CO2 detectors and flashlights. Be sure to consider those with special needs (babies, pets, elderly, disabled, etc.)

    Financial information backup – Be sure to have hard copies of all important documents. Birth certificates, bank statements, wills, deeds, titles, credit/mortgage obligations, powers of attorney, medical documents, stock certificates, living wills and advance directives, etc. Keep them together in a safe place in your home and a duplicate set elsewhere.

    Mental preparedness – Educate yourself. Feeling confident in being able to do things and create things is empowering. Learn new skill sets and educate yourself. Learn basic skills like cooking, preserving, fermenting, canning, sewing, basic carpentry and handy type services, care of people and animals, gardening, first aid, basic herbal medicine, hunting, repairs of any kind.

    Physical preparedness – Get yourself in shape. If you have been putting off that dental visit or eye exam, or that nuisance procedure, do them now and get them over. Consider your diet and nutritional needs, and rethink alcohol consumption and tobacco use. Lose that 5 pounds you keep wishing were gone. Be in the best physical condition you can be.

    Emotional preparedness – This is usually the support of those you love. It could be supporting each other in a family setting. It could be your relationship with friends or other loved ones. Those you serve and those who you can count on, not only to do the right thing, but to be there for you and with you. These are those with whom you offer the same care, concern and support in return. Combine time and trade skill sets with others. This helps create bonds and networks for emotional security. Trust is key.

    Spiritual preparedness – This could be your religion or your philosophy or your connection with your sense of ideals, values, ethics or whatever gives you (and others) inner peace in difficult times or under challenging circumstances. Spiritual preparedness is that which helps you remain in balance and preserves the integrity of your highest sense of who you are. It enables you to be true to yourself and be honorable.

    I am aware that many of you can’t buy a working hobby farm in a rural area, move there and be off of the grid. Most people are unable to do this. Even so, be optimistic that there are things you can do in an emergency with some planning. Be optimistic that you can prepare and be safer in what is sometimes an unsafe world.
    Last edited by pywong; 11th November 2016 at 05:32 AM.

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Oct 2008
    2. Be Prepared – Leave or Stay in an Emergency

    November 9th, 2016 at 8:27 PM (CST) by Jim Sinclair & filed under General Editorial.

    Key Points:
    1. Emergencies occur everywhere
    2. Criteria of a retreat location

    Not all emergencies are end of the world scenarios. Just in the past few days people in Florida died and others were injured due to a weather phenomenon. Thousands were still without power yesterday in Southern Florida from weather, which wreaked havoc. We learned from Katrina that we sometimes need to be prepared to help ourselves. A government isn’t always able to act, or act quickly enough to save lives in an emergency. In the USA, FEMA was designed to keep the government in order, and in control. So, dependence on FEMA for personal survival may not be the highest choice in an emergency. With hurricane Katrina we saw massive destruction of an area in the USA in a very short period of time. The Katrina death toll is still undetermined. Hurricane Katrina is just one example of a natural disaster. Over 15 million people were affected. Katrina impacted about 90,000 square miles.

    Emergencies occur everywhere. JSMineset readers are world-wide. I use Katrina as an example, but look at the disruptions in Paris after last November’s tragic attacks. Venezuela declared and economic emergency over their currency crisis. Goldman Sachs calls the past situation in Brazil an “outright economic depression” (Bloomberg) Consider things which can influence the availability of resources wherever you live. Plan to have food and water and consider other information in the original “Be Prepared” article. The need for preparedness transcends national borders.

    Many of your questions have to do with an emergency scenario where you must remain in your present location. Many questions were also concerned with, what to look for in a desirable or optimal location. Although JSMineset isn’t a survivalist site, I will share my ideas and concerns for your consideration. These are things to consider. The information here are not suggestions or recommendations. Each person and family’s needs are different. No one but you can know and consider your needs; your exposure to risks; or how to use resources available for your highest good.

    If you live in an area of known risk (floods, hurricanes, droughts, earthquakes, etc.) have an evacuation plan for you and your loved ones. If you can afford a retreat property, consider moving there so you are out of harm’s way. In the alternative, have an escape plan which is known by all loved ones without the need for communications systems. In an emergency, communications systems may be jammed up or unreliable. Having a plan in advance will not only save time, but reduce the stress and anxiety of trying to locate loved ones under difficult circumstances. Having an escape plan can be important for every family regardless of where you live. All areas around the world have different positive qualities and various potential hazards. Your escape may merely be from a densely populated area in a power grid failure or a transportation crisis. A trucking strike or other transportation problem could prevent food and other goods from reaching stores in densely populated areas. Have a plan to evacuate if you can, and a plan to remain where you are if you can’t evacuate. Then, hope you never need it.

    Most of the Katrina deaths were older Americans, who couldn’t evacuate, or died from lack of assistance and essential services necessary to sustain life. If you are trapped in a place where you cannot evacuate, or have no other place to go, stock food and supplies, including medicines. Since power outages are often a problem, have a plan for some type of alternative heat and be familiar with all safety precautions for it’s use. A kerosene heater can not only heat your living space, but provide a means of heating food. Pure white kerosene can be stored and is shelf stable for 15 years. A filled 5 gallon blue container could be a good investment. Be completely familiar with the safety precautions for such a heater. These are ideas to consider, not suggestions for purchases. Explore your options. Working smoke/Co2 detectors and fire extinguishers are vitally important for any living space. Know how to refrigerate your medicines without electricity. In the USA, FEMA focuses most of it’s resources on evacuation and containment, and not to individual emergency survival training. You can probably obtain a brochure from your local Office of Emergency Management if you are in the USA. Many of our readers are outside of the USA and it is difficult to address any individual needs in one article. If you have medicine, like insulin which requires refrigeration you can make a refrigerator for about $5. $5 can save a life. Any boyscout knows how to make a simple refrigerator, yet most government sponsored emergency services don’t teach these skills. Know how to make a “Zeer Pot” and have what is needed available. If you Google “Zeer Pot” you can learn how to do this.

    Retreat Location: If you and your family are fortunate enough to consider a retreat location (permanent or temporary), there are some things you may wish to consider. Not everyone’s criteria will be the same… I would consider places with the following characteristics -

    Not more than 20-30 minutes from a hospital with a trauma center. Google “EMS golden hour”

    Not in the fallout zone of a nuclear reactor.

    Not near a military base.

    Not in a highly, densely populated area.

    Less than 1.5 hours from an International Airport.

    Location with food sources not dependent on trucking or other shipping/transport.

    Clean air and environment.

    Sustainable water supply not dependent on irrigation or piping from other places for water.

    Continental shelf areas (research tech-tonic plates). Places where the ground isn’t unstable.

    Not in an areas of high risk (floods – particularly tidal wave or tsunami, wind – tornadoes, etc)

    High potential for natural disasters (hurricanes, tsunami, earthquakes, severe droughts/wild fires. Etc.)

    Proximity to International borders.

    Natural resources including abundant wild life.

    Employment opportunity or opportunity for home bases businesses.

    Quality and availability of school systems.

    Access to services and utilities and reasonably reliable power sources or alternative heat/power sources.

    Near others with skill sets, and farms

    Near like-minded people.

    Based on your interest and requests, it is my intention to share with you my thoughts on preparedness.

    I realize I have not addressed many of your questions from the original article. I intend to elaborate on your other areas of inquiry. Since so much of preparedness relates to where you are, or where you could be in an emergency situation, this topic was elaborated on first. I hope this article is responsive in terms of what you may wish to consider.

    Be positive, but plan. Take prudent and sensible steps and feel good about your preparations.

    Have hope and be optimistic, but “Be Prepared.” As a global community we can share our ideas and thoughts which help us to support each other. We can plan and prepare and get through whatever comes. I write to you today to “Be Prepared.” When your remaining questions are responded to in future writings, I will write to you about opportunities and prosperity. Being prepared is a first and necessary step in that direction.

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Oct 2008
    3. Be Prepared – Food

    November 9th, 2016 at 8:26 PM (CST) by Jim Sinclair & filed under General Editorial.

    Key Points:
    1. Storage,
    2. Freeze, dried food,
    3. Water,
    4. Oil,
    5. Vitamins,
    6. Spices,
    7. Pet food,
    8. Heirloom Seeds,

    The next subject which needs to be addressed in preparedness is food. We all need food and prudent storage is very important. No one can tell you what you need. Your needs and desires are as individual as you are, and your budgets, storage space and dietary needs and restrictions are just as varied. No one in one article or even one book could completely address your needs. In this article I hope to share with you some ideas about things to consider, if you aren’t already engaged in some form of food storage. This article will suggest some things to think about and help you move on with your own research.

    We can be faced with lots of challenges which could influence our ability to obtain food. It doesn’t have to be a broad scale emergency like we just experienced on the East Coast of the USA from the storm Jonas. Your food emergency could be as individual as the loss of a job or other personal tragedy which compromises your ability to get food. We all need air, food and water to survive. This is known as the Rule of Threes. Usually – You can’t survive more than 3 minutes without air. You can’t survive more than 3 days without water, and you can’t survive more than 3 weeks without food. It is recommended that the minimum amount of water to have, not including water to rehydrate food is one gallon/4 litres per day, per person.

    Although, I will make some suggestions for you to consider in storing food, you can do some independent research on Google using parameters such as “long term food storage.” You can pay anywhere from about $1500 on up for a one year basic food supply for one person. If you purchase long term storage food, there are a few things to know. You need to store it in a cool, dark place without moisture. You need to store water, because the food is dried or dehydrated. You need to store oil, since the dried/dehydrated foods don’t contain fats. Fats would shorten shelf life since fats become rancid. You need to have a manual/non-electric can opener or your food won’t be very accessible in a power outage.

    A few days ago, the winter storm in the US may have provided the opportunity for some of you to learn where you are prepared and where you aren’t. Hopefully this experience wasn’t with dire consequences. The school of experience is expensive. Grocery store shelves in the affected areas were cleaned out days before the storm, and there was nothing available to buy. Those people who had some food stored would have been the most prepared, even with the numerous power outages which occurred. We won’t always be warned of a coming storm, whether it is an environmental storm or a financial storm. We need to Be Prepared.

    Although the long time readers of JSMineset are aware that gold and silver will be the ultimate safety net in the long term, there is a period between a time of crisis and it’s resolution. It is that period, which I hope to address, especially since we have so many new readers. There is a path to prosperity, even in undesirable or unfortunate circumstances, but we have to survive and thrive in the interim period.

    For those of you who already have bulk and long term food supplies, my congratulations to you and well done. For those of you who are just embarking on preparedness, much of what is written is for you, and I hope you benefit from having some things to consider. Since 1 out of every 6 Americans is presently receiving food assistance, the need for preparedness may be critical for your families. You can prepare a little at a time, each and every time you shop. The first of the month is approaching and I am writing now so that, if you are receiving food assistance, you can start your planning now. The issuance of EBS cards have electronically hidden what would have been the bread lines of the Great Depression. We don’t see bread lines these days because of EBS, but if we did, they would be long and populated by adults, seniors and children from all walks of life including some of your neighbors.

    You can prepare with a little planning. Devote $5 or $10 every time you shop. Start with things like pasta, canned spaghetti sauce, rice, peanut butter, canned fish, Spam, canned chili or stew and crackers, orange flavored breakfast drink, powdered, boxed, or canned milk, canned soups, etc. Crackers can be a substitute for bread and have a much longer shelf life. Many of these items you can get for around $1 each. Start storing some as soon as possible. Some food supplies last almost indefinitely and are very versatile and useful. Among these are sugar, salt, honey, vinegar, rice, pasta and dried beans.

    Be sure to try to stock foods your family will eat. A rapid change in diet can and usually will create disturbances in the intestinal tract. For this reason it is advisable to have medications for constipation and diarrhoea. Additional items which need to be stocked with food are vitamins. The foods you are able to stock may not be the most nutritionally desirable. Many college students live on Ramen Noodles. Although you can survive on them, they aren’t nutritionally balanced. Vitamins are particularly important for the young. In difficult times, if you must sacrifice nutrition for food in your belly, be sure to have Vitamins.

    Don’t forget about spices, cooking oil and some shelf stable comfort foods. If you need coffee or tea, aim to stock some, and keep some non-dairy creamers if you prefer. Some hot cocoa mix can be an enormous comfort food in a time of need and popcorn can be an inexpensive shelf stable treat.

    Don’t forget pet food in your preparedness planning. You will want to provide for Fido and Kitty too.

    Last, the item you will hopefully consider is seeds. Not seeds for consumption, but some heirloom seeds for planting in order to grow food, if needed. Even a small square foot garden or potted window or porch garden is better than no garden at all. If you don’t need your seeds down the road, you can always barter them for something you do need. Be sure to get heirloom seeds, so that they will continue to produce seeds from the plants you grow. Hybrid and GMO seeds will not reproduce with true seeds and likely not grow anything at all.

    Take some time and sort out some things to obtain for your food storage. You can do it and for only $5 or $10 a week. Look for Google links and Youtube videos. You can’t really go wrong with food. Your worst case is that you will eat it. If you have the resources for expensive long term food storage, it is great to have it. It is like insurance. If you have expensive long term storage food but don’t use it, you can always donate it to your area church, soup kitchen or food shelf and take a tax deduction for your contribution.

    It doesn’t matter who you are or where you are in the socio-economical, political, gender, geographic or demographic landscape. It is better to plan and be safer for the effort. The important thing to take away from this article is to not only know that you can do this, but to start- now.

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Oct 2008
    4. Be Prepared – Precious Metals

    November 9th, 2016 at 8:25 PM (CST) by Jim Sinclair & filed under General Editorial.

    Key Points:
    1. Gold and silver,
    2. Keep paper currency – 3 to 6 months worth in hand,
    3. When to buy gold or silver,
    4. Gold, silver or paper – use which one first?

    My Dear Extended Family and Friends,

    This article is about precious metals and their importance in preparedness. In this article, we are specifically referring to gold and silver when using the terms precious metals. These are not the only precious metals, but these are the metals familiar to most people and which are most likely to be available. Some have asked me why this topic was not the first one I addressed in the “Be Prepared” series. The reason the topic of gold and silver is fifth is because other areas of preparedness are more important in the scheme of things. You can’t eat gold if you are hungry. You can’t defend yourself with silver if you need protection. When it comes to survival in uncertain or difficult times, water, food, shelter, and safety are all ahead of precious metals in needed preparedness. Focusing first, or exclusively on precious metals would be a very myopic and a potentially hazardous path. It would be irresponsible of someone to tell you that precious metals will secure you in an emergency without suggesting other areas of preparedness which would have priority in the order of needs.

    It is my goal to assist you to effectively prepare for your wellbeing, and writing about precious metals alone is not the highest choice. Anyone who advises you to have precious metals alone in preparing for natural disaster, geopolitical or financial uncertainly is a disservice to you. Having precious metals alone would not help to prepare you for challenging times, and it is my aim to help you transition through personal, societal or global emergency circumstances regardless of the cause and emerge as safely as possible to a more positive future destination.

    Why are precious metals important, and why should we care about having them? Precious metals are misunderstood by many today. The under 50′s of today, don’t know when gold and silver were money. Many believe there is intrinsic value in paper dollars, euros, pounds, etc. But to paraphrase JP Morgan…gold and silver are money. Everything else is just an IOU. Many readers already have physical gold and silver and understand why. If this you, then well done on your investment and congratulations, however, this article is not aimed at you. This article is aimed at someone who does not possess (any or much) precious metals and doesn’t understand their ultimate roll in future. This article is aimed at the person who may be living from paycheck to paycheck or on a fixed income from month to month and may not have investments.

    In the United States, people originally used gold and silver for their purchases and transactions. Gold and, particularly silver, are cumbersome. They weigh down the pockets. The government initially led people to use paper by notes which stated that the bearer of the note could redeem the note for gold or silver. This gave people confidence in the paper because they knew they could take the paper note to the bank and get their gold or silver. Eventually, through the generations, people no longer identified the paper currency with gold and silver. The demand notes for gold and silver were removed from circulation. Most people today accept notes which are not backed by gold or silver, but merely the promise of the issuer of the paper to pay and stand for debts, public and private. The thought process disconnected the connection between the paper and what it originally represented – gold or silver.

    In starting out with precious metals, gold and silver coins are the best choice even in the smallest of denominations and build up from there. The provenance of the coin of a nation is understood and accepted. For this reason, investing in bullion coins is important. No one challenges the silver content of pre-1965 quarters, half dollars and dimes. They are recognized and aren’t subjected to metallurgical testing like bullion bars or rounds would be. Their provenance isn’t questionable and they are readily accepted. This is why people under the age of 50 don’t understand the function or the necessity for gold and silver. They have been taught to rely on the paper and not what it was originally used to represent. Paper was successfully used to get gold and silver from the people who trusted the paper. When the day comes that the paper is not trusted, only those who have gold and silver will have money.

    This article would be too lengthy if I were to address how we got to where we presently are in the financial scheme of things. The Internet is replete with such articles. What is important here isn’t how we got to where we are, but how we will arrive as safely as possible to where we are going? If you are interested you can do a web search for the Weimar Republic, Zimbabwe, and Argentina to see what occurs when there is an emergency which starts with or leads to a currency crisis. This doesn’t have to be an emergency of national scope where you live, it can be as small as losing your job or your income.

    Last month there were ATM failures for TD Bank and Deutsche Bank and went “dark” according to media reports. If you live from ATM transaction to ATM transaction and you counted on one of these institutions, what would you have done if the ATMs did not come back online? It is from this experience that we know that we need to keep some currency at home. Currency is paper money we use for transactions. Precious metals are what we need to ensure access to currency if paper money is still accepted for transactions, or in the final alternative precious metals as a medium for exchange. This is an important distinction. As long as currency (paper money) is accepted, it should be used as a medium of exchange for transactions. If you have some precious metals, you could take them to the flea market, the pawn shop, the local coin dealer and trade them for paper currency. You would then use the paper currency until such time that it was not accepted and then use your precious metals directly for your transactions.

    In most currency events, you don’t start out using your precious metals. Precious metals are not only a medium of exchange for transactions, they are a store of wealth. They are a means to preserve your wealth and your buying power. In large scale currency events, most populations who have experienced these events start out using what they have in paper currency. Many without paper resort to barter and that is why barter was addressed in the previous article. Historically, all paper currencies fail. There is no paper currency which has set a historical precedent for surviving a major economic crisis – none.

    Historically, when an economic crisis has grasped a nation, it has resulted not only in economic collapse, but also domestic socio-political collapse. As systems in crisis break down and deteriorate, black markets in other, more stable currencies were substituted by people for their transactions. During a hyper-inflationary financial crisis, people have often turned to barter or more stable foreign currencies for their purchases. At the time of a currency crisis, there is usually a period of civil unrest until there are reforms and the country re-stabilizes. This interim period is most challenging. Having your country’s paper currency for the interim is valuable. By having some precious metals, you can exchange your metals for the currency you need for purchases of goods and services for survival. You would not likely use your precious metals directly for purchases if there is still a paper currency in place which you can acquire by trading your precious metals to obtain the currency. This is more discrete than paying for goods and services directly with precious metals.

    The time to buy physical precious metals is whenever you can. It isn’t about price, or even getting the best price. It is about getting the precious metals even in the smallest amounts. One or two coins will get you started. Buy when you have the money or can get the money without going into debt to make the purchases. Look at antique stores for old silver dollars or other old coins. Check out your local pawn shop, flea markets or garage sales. Look at Internet sites like eBay, bulletin boards, and coin dealers, online bullion purveyors with good reputation and reviews. Look at your phone book in the yellow pages, or ads in the newspaper. People who buy coins also sell them. This could be a good time to practice some barter for something of value you don’t want or need for some old coins.

    In the event of price controls, limits on bank withdrawals, food or other rationing, informal economic transactions tend to thrive. Precious metals are often resorted to in these informal transactions, but only if paper currency is not accepted. If paper currency is accepted, then its use is the highest choice since you do not disclose to the person you are transacting with that you have gold and/or silver. If paper currency is the norm, it is important to stay with that norm to the degree possible.

    Ultimately, countries, economies, prices and the social order are reinstated after some needed reforms. After economic stability returns, anyone holding precious metals will have preserved their buying power and their wealth. At that time, the holder of precious metals can exchange them for a new currency by having preserved their wealth.

    Most people today don’t have precious metals. Many people who think they have precious metals only have paper they believe can be surrendered for actual gold and silver. This is a great hoax perpetrated on even the most intelligent of investors. The hoax is perpetrated on investors because they have subscribed to a mis-belief. This is the same mis-belief which causes people to believe there is intrinsic value in paper money. Gold and silver are real money. Precious metals aren’t dependent on any other entity’s promise to pay. There is no performance needed. There is no risk from someone not fulfilling their obligation to deliver. What you have in your hands, in your possession you own. It is that old expression, “If you don’t have it in your possession, you don’t have it.” This is sad but true.

    Although I don’t give investment advice, I urge you to get some coins of gold or silver.

    Even if you are having difficulty making ends meet, invest in some pre-1965 US 90% silver coins. Forgo a cup of coffee or a beer and make this investment. You can do it a little at a time. One coin at a time. The important thing is to start, and start now!

    We have readers from around the globe and from all walks of life and all socio-economic circumstances. I am writing to all of you. You don’t need to be a savvy investor to understand this simple information. In fact, a savvy investor has already considered the facts, the political and economic landscape and their investment agenda and made an informed decision for themselves, regardless if it is best or not.

    I am writing to them, but also to readers who already have almost nothing to get by on. One out of six people in the USA need food assistance to provide meals for their families. This information is for you as much as it is for anyone else.

    Even if you consider yourself to be among the abject poor you can probably find the resources for some 90% silver dimes. If you have very few resources, just buy one pre-1965 dime– just one. There may be a world emerging where one dime can make a difference in your wellbeing and those who may be dependent on you. I urge you to start today! I care about you. For me, helping you with this information is a moral imperative. My goal to assist you is more important than any title or reputation which has been bestowed on me.

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Oct 2008
    5. Be Prepared – Barter

    Key Points:
    1. What is barter? [Commercial Barter – not considered here.]
    2. Survivor Barter,
    3. Civil Barter,
    4. Develop people skills, common sense and safety,
    5. Items for survival barter

    1. What is Barter? Barter is a means to provide or acquire goods and services by trade for other goods and services
    . It can be very simple to very complex depending on your culture, location and traditions. Barter in Western culture isn’t as prevalent as it is in other areas of the world. In some regions barter is a business. If you are undertaking barter as a business, this article is not directed to you. If you are undertaking barter as a business be aware of tax considerations and consequences. This article is directed at those interested in barter for daily life. This is simple barter where goods and services are traded for daily life and is not intended as a profit making enterprise.

    If this article is your first introduction to barter as a means of trade, then consider what you have in the way of goods and skill sets to trade and what you need for daily life. Also, don’t wait to learn the system of barter and start practicing now. You can find places to practice at garage sales, flea markets, pawn shops and swap and trade forums on the Internet. Learn how to barter and remember, repetition is the mother of skill. With a little practice you can become skilled.

    I will divide barter into two basic categories which address different circumstances and reasons someone may wish to or need to engage in Barter. I will designate these as “Survival Barter” and “Civil Barter.” If you find yourself in a situation or circumstance where there is not Rule of Law and you need goods and/or services, you are in a Survival Barter situation. If there is a social order and societal stability, you are most likely in a Civil Barter situation.

    In either Civil Barter or Survival Barter situations, you need to have certain basic skills which need to be mentioned first. These are basically what we know and understand as “people skills.” Most of barter is common sense and safety, but this can vary widely from one person to the next. You must learn to read people. Basically, if you don’t trust someone, don’t barter with them. Also, unless you know someone well and trust them a lot, don’t barter anything which could be used to hurt you. Weaponry and ammunition are at the top of that list. If you barter ammunition it could be returned to you – at high velocity. Safety is very important, particularly if you find yourself in a Survival Barter scenario. Trust your instincts. Your mind can rationalize anything but your gut probably won’t be deceived or lie to you. If you are uncomfortable with someone or something, don’t barter with them – leave.

    Where safety is concerned, it is best to barter in a public place, not from your well stocked home. Even in a public place, you don’t want to appear well supplied, or you may invite someone to follow you home. Don’t appear to be a trader with lots of goods to trade. This may invite safety problems. Trade as little as possible to attain your necessities and essential services. If you can attain your needs with a can of beans, don’t take ten to a market. Others who want the items you have will be watching you, observing what you have and how often you have it. You don’t want to draw attention to yourself. You want to trade for what you need and leave. Others should not know what supplies you have, and most information is obtained by observation. This isn’t what you say, it is what someone else sees. If you are trading with your neighbors and others you know, this is not as much of a concern, but for trading with unknown people, keeping your supplies private is a good safety precaution.

    It is good to know the wants and needs of your barter partners. If you know what someone wants or needs, it makes dealing with them easier. It is important to know the priority of your own wants and needs. If you aim at what you need, it is easier. You will be able to define what you need even if your wants may differ. It is good to remember for yourself and others, that if there is a shortage of resources, that your vices become your weaknesses. Know your weaknesses, and the weaknesses of others to the degree possible. Vices are usually easily identified and include items like alcohol, tobacco products, cosmetics, etc.

    One of the most challenging aspects in a barter system may be to find a trading partner- someone who has what you need and also wants what you have. What you have to offer for what you need may not be a match, and rarely is unless and until trading relationships are established. Good places to find trading partners are churches, community bulletin boards, barter clubs, internet forums, local front porch forums, local farmers markets and places like Some radio stations have call-in buy, sell, swap and trade programs. Check with your local radio station. If they don’t have such programming, suggest it. If you need a particular service, like a roofing repair, a good place to look for a reliable roofer is the local roofing and lumber supply company. The lumber company will know who buys the most materials and how busy a contractor is. In this case someone whose services are in demand is likely to have a good reputation in their line of work. The places where craftsmen buy their supplies will tell you where to find them. Asking for references can be very helpful.

    Items for survival barter are any items or services needed to sustain life. Water, food, shelter, medications and medical care, safety and defense of self and others, etc. Consider attaining skill sets and/or acquaint yourself with others with skill sets for production of goods, personal care and services for repairs, etc. Other items to consider for barter are listed below in no particular order. These items are for your consideration:

    Equipment – Bicycles, camping gear, back packs, sleeping bags, radios, tarps, plastic sheeting, duct tape, wood glue and building materials of any kind

    Tools – any kind (automotive, gardening, building, hardware), sandpaper, scissors, tape measure

    Drinks – Bottled water, Coffee, Tea, beverages, alcoholic beverages (beer, spirits)

    Medical – over the counter and prescription, first aid kit and supplies, glasses, antiseptics, peroxide, rubbing alcohol, cold remedies, antibiotic creams, fungal ointments, eyeglass repair kits, anti-itch cream, pain killers, antibiotics, fever thermometers/scanners, contraceptive devices, anti-nausea liquid, anti-diarrhea liquid, analgesics, pediatric electrolyte drink and other pediatric OTC medicines, dental repair kit

    Sanitary – bathroom tissue, feminine and adult hygiene products, baby diapers and products, soaps, sanitizers, shampoo, razors, bleach, cleaning products, tooth brushes, tooth paste, dental floss

    Furniture – any kind

    Clothing and shoes – adult and children

    Children – toys, games, books, supplies, clothing/shoes, educational materials

    Vices – alcohol, tobacco, cigarettes/cigars, lighters, matches (other fire starters) cosmetics

    Power – fuel of any kind, gasoline, heating oil, kerosene, propane, solar panels, solar powered items, batteries, battery chargers, candles, lamp oil, flash lights, hand warmers, space heaters and other heating devices

    Safety, Hunting, Self and Home Defense – weaponry (fire arms, knives, sling shots, pepper/mace sprays), window alarms, door chimes, automatic power outage interior lights, exterior security lights a large dog bowl outside for outside your door if you don’t have a dog.

    Food – any kind, including vitamins and supplements, canned and shelf stable items, salt, sugar, honey, spices, cooking oil and cooking ingredients, food for special needs, food for household pets and livestock, heirloom garden and herb seeds and comfort items like chocolate

    Household – pots, pans, aluminum foil, plastic wrap, paper bags, dish and laundry products, light bulbs, manual can opener, sewing, mending knitting/crochet supplies, kitchen utensils and tools, knives, scissors, kitchen tools and equipment, blankets, pet supplies, fire extinguisher, smoke and CO2 detectors, plastic sheeting, chlorine bleach

    General/Miscellaneous – reference and “How To”, DIY books and materials, entertainment books, writing paper and writing instruments. musical instruments, board games, deck of playing cards.

    The foregoing list of barter items are mostly for a “Civil Barter” situation. In a “Survival Barter” situation, don’t expect someone to trade their can of soup for your dental floss. It won’t happen. You need to be prepared for your needs and the needs of your loved ones. In a survival scenario, the more materialistic and less-skilled of people will be the hardest hit. To me, charity is a moral imperative to be considered when and if bartering is for survival needs. This is a personal matter mentioned for your consideration.

    This article has been requested numerous times. This information is by no means exhaustive of the skill set we call “Barter.” I trust this article will give you some ideas to consider in assessing your own needs, situation and skill sets. You will find a lot of information about barter on the Internet and this is just an introduction to the subject matter if you are looking for some basic information to help you navigate your needs in an uncertain world.

    Regardless what the future brings, it won’t be the end of the world, but things may be much more challenging. Knowing how to meet our personal and family needs are good skill sets if life becomes more difficult. I am writing according to your requests and areas of interest, so your feedback is important.

    It is important to remember – We will all be all right.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Oct 2008
    What are we getting PREPARED for?

    Are We Beginning a Fourth Turning?

    by Soren K.
    16/11/2016 3:30 PM


    “History offers even more sobering warnings: Armed confrontation usually occurs around the climax of Crisis. If there is confrontation, it is likely to lead to war. This could be any kind of war – class war, sectional war, war against global anarchists or terrorists, or superpower war. If there is war, it is likely to culminate in total war, fought until the losing side has been rendered nil – its will broken, territory taken, and leaders captured.”
    The Fourth Turning – Strauss & Howe -1997

    Via | As we enter the final stretch of this vitriolic, deplorable, venomous, propaganda saturated, deceitful, rigged presidential election spectacle, it becomes painfully obvious this Fourth Turning is careening toward bloodshed, bedlam, confrontation, and civil war. The linear fixated establishment, who fancy themselves intellectually superior to the irredemables, are too blinded by their sociopathic, increasingly audacious subversion of the Constitution, to grasp the level of rage and disillusionment of a white working class that has been screwed over for decades.

    As the Wall Street shysters frantically accelerate their embezzlement of what remains of middle class wealth, with the Fed and the corporate media propagandists as their wing-men, the country devolves into a corporate fascist state. The disposition of the nation grows dark like the sky before an approaching deadly blizzard. As passions boil over and violence portends, this Fourth Turning hastens towards a bloody decade ahead with an uncertain climax.

    If you think this is just hyperbole, you either haven’t studied history or your cognitive dissonance and normalcy bias prevent you from seeing the unavoidable societal altering clashes, which occur like clockwork on an eighty year cycle, when the portents are right in front of your eyes. Historian Arnold Toynbee’s great war cycle that arise every 80 years or so, aligns perfectly with the Fourth Turning generational theory. Great wars occur when the generation that doesn’t remember the last catastrophic war ascends to leadership of the country.

    We are eight years into a Crisis period which won’t end until the mid-2020s. As this bitterly vicious presidential campaign accelerates towards a finale which will leave the country divided and irate, the hostile opposing forces will be seeking revenge, retribution, and retaliation no matter the outcome. There is no doubt the regeneracy is well under way.

    “The next Fourth Turning is due to begin shortly after the new millennium, midway through the Oh-Oh decade. Around the year 2005, a sudden spark will catalyze a Crisis mood. Remnants of the old social order will disintegrate. Political and economic trust will implode. Real hardship will beset the land, with severe distress that could involve questions of class, race, nation and empire. The very survival of the nation will feel at stake. Sometime before the year 2025, America will pass through a great gate in history, commensurate with the American Revolution, Civil War, and twin emergencies of the Great Depression and World War II.” –
    Strauss & Howe The Fourth Turning

    It was five years ago I spent a couple fascinating hours with Neil Howe, co-author of the Fourth Turning, during the Occupy Wall Street protests. He thought the protests were all passion and no depth, engineered by anarchist Boomers. He was right. I thought OWS might be the start of the regeneracy, but it flamed out quickly. It was only a foreshadowing of what was to come. Whatever event or movement created the regeneracy, it would be driven by the toxic combination of debt, civic decay, and global disorder.

    Neil was particularly worried about the Federal Reserve zero interest rate policy and how it was ruining our economic system, creating disincentives to saving and encouraging warped, debt driven speculation. And that was in 2011. The Fed keeping interest rates near zero on behalf of a corrupt establishment for the last eight years has been the primary factor in creating the anger, disillusionment and revolutionary spirit driving the regeneracy.

    No critical thinking human being can deny this tumultuous presidential election and its equally turbulent primaries have been fueled by the dreadful self-serving response of the establishment to the 2008 Wall Street created financial collapse; the geopolitical anarchy created by U.S. interventionism in the Middle East; the civic decay created by a failing government educational system; rampant debt financed materialism enabled and encouraged by the financial/media complex; and racial division facilitated by the president and his social justice warrior brethren.

    The rescue of Wall Street and destruction of Main Street by the Fed, Wall Street and the captured politicians of both parties in Washington D.C. has created the angry, acrimonious, throw the bums out mood boiling over in flyover America. The widening Grand Canyon gap in wealth between the haves and the have nots, produced by solutions from sociopaths in suits has reached the pitchfork and torch level.

    The linear thinking ruling class has been in denial since this Crisis catalyzed in September 2008. Their looting, pillaging and ransacking campaign, designed to enrich and empower a small cadre of shadowy, powerful, wealthy men, had been successful for decades. When you control the currency and interest rates; rig the financial markets; buy the politicians; write the laws and regulations; own the corporate propaganda machines known as the mainstream media; operate a high tech surveillance state; create a dumbed down populace through government school indoctrination; and distract the masses with iGadgets, reality TV, hero worship, professional sports, social media, irrelevant cultural issues, and literally thousands of other modern day bread and circuses; you become arrogant and careless.

    These sociopaths are so consumed with their ravenous fleecing of the middle class, waging wars for profit, and shredding the Constitution, they failed to recognize 2008 for the seismic earth shattering event that will change everything. The mood of the country shifted like tectonic plates beneath the nation. The mood continues to grow dimmer, as the peasants grow poorer and the modern day aristocracy (Wall Street bankers, corporate executives, corrupt politicians, shadowy billionaires) accumulate obscene ill-gotten wealth through their complete capture of the system. This perverted, degenerative, criminal degradation of our society is powerfully summed up by Jesse from Jesse’s Café Americain:

    “Not all sociopaths wield knives and knotted cords. Some wear suits, and are exceptionally intelligent and articulate, obsessively driven, and are able to use and undermine the law and the rules for their advantage, like weapons. It is never about the win, never about the money. It is about the kill, the expression of their hatred, about elevating themselves with the suffering of others. Bind, torture, kill. Not only with ropes and knives, but also with power and money, and the subversion of law. Lawlessness is their addiction, their will to power.

    When societies become lax and complacent, these sociopaths can possess great political power through great amounts of unprincipled money. And over time they become almost anti-human, destroyers of all that is good, all that is life, all that offends their insatiable sickness with its goodness. They twist the public against itself, and turn a broad sweep of society into their killing grounds. This is the undeniable lesson of the last century. There are monsters, and they walk among us.”

    Neil Howe has noted in previous articles the catalyst, climax and resolution of Fourth Turnings can be specifically dated. But the regeneracy is more of an era than a date. With only three previous American Fourth Turnings, I imagined the regeneracy to be a specific event where the American people, faced with growing peril and danger, put aside their differences and rallied around a strong leader to build something new. Boy was I wrong.

    In retrospect, the American people were numbed by the Great Depression and the bloody initial battles of the Civil War. They just let FDR and Lincoln do whatever they needed to do. The regeneracy marks a growth in centralized authority and resolute governance at a time of great risk and urgency. I believe this era of regeneracy began at the outset of the presidential primaries early in 2016.

    Based upon the reaction of the citizens in the last ten months, the dire problem facing the nation, perceived as the largest threat to our future, happens to be the Deep State establishment currently ruling the country. The captured mainstream media and grey beards running both political parties were completely stunned, horrified, and irate at the unprecedented success achieved by the two anti-establishment candidates, Trump and Sanders.

    This election was supposed to follow the script as planned and coordinated by the establishment, with Hillary Clinton defeating Jeb Bush and continuing the corrupt status quo policies agreed to by the bought off leaders of both parties. They badly miscalculated the mood of the country and the whirlwind of change seeking to sweep away the stubborn remnants of a crooked, decrepit, putrid, existing social order. This collective middle finger to the establishment could only happen during a Fourth Turning.

    This regeneracy is well under way and is poised to transform and replace the very foundation of this crumbling empire of debt, delusions, and denial. The unanswered question is what happens next. I posed that question to Neil Howe five years ago and he said the specific events of a Fourth Turning are unknowable, but the reaction to those events by the generational cohorts is consistent over time.

    We are seeing the reaction of critical thinking Americans as they come to the realization the system is rigged against them. A revolutionary spirit is once again rising among the deplorables. I also asked Neil about the theory Fourth Turnings alternate between external conflicts and internal conflicts. He found the subject fascinating, but didn’t think there were enough data points to make a determination.

    Based on the current path of this Fourth Turning, I’m now convinced of this alternating sequence between advancement cycles and atonement cycles. The advancement cycles can be seen as establishing, whereas atonement cycles are disestablishing. It is apparent each Fourth Turning alternates between an external struggle and an internal struggle. The American Revolution was a struggle against an external oppressor – Great Britain.

    The Civil War was an internal struggle between the industrial North and the agrarian South. The Depression/World War II struggle was mainly against an external threat – Germany, Japan, and Italy. The American Revolution established our country. There was optimism and elation as a new republic, forged under an enlightened Constitution and led by judicious intelligent men, was born. It was clearly an advancement cycle.

    The Civil War disestablished states’ rights, slavery, agrarian society and Constitutional rights. It was an atonement cycle for our actual and implicit sins. There was no glorious high. The resolution felt more like defeat, with the country exhausted, bitter and angry. The country had exhausted itself, spilling the blood of over one million men. The new High after an atonement cycle is like a cold miserable rainy dark Spring.

    The Great Depression/World War II Fourth Turning established a new world order led by the United States. As the only major country left unscathed by the ravages of global war, the U.S. became the producer for the world, whose dollar was unquestioned as the currency of global trade. The new High was unleashed with fanfare and adulation. It was like a delightfully warm Spring, with flowers blooming and children frolicking.

    All signs point toward this Fourth Turning being a life or death struggle between the ruling class of sociopathic bankers, corporate elites, and sleazy politicians versus the oppressed and infuriated middle class. The lying, deceit, rigging, deception, theft and other crimes perpetrated by the ruling elites will be atoned for. The heroic patriotic revelations from Edward Snowden, Julian Assange, and Bradley (Chelsea) Manning proving the government and politicians to be lying, corrupt, immoral, sociopathic traitors to the Constitution have undermined the last vestiges of trust in the system and the establishment. The alignment of generational dynamics will provoke the responses to events moving forward. We have been badly led. A silent coup by Deep State perpetrators has led to the complete capture of our economic, financial, judicial and political systems.

    A vast swath of the populace has been lured into living beyond their means. The existing system is unsustainable. The Boomer generation does not want to yield on their perceived entitlements. The Millennial generation is saddled with un-payable debts, living in their parents’ basements, working the night shift at Ruby Tuesday. Generation X is trapped in the middle of this generational struggle. The huge economic imbalances, created by politicians buying votes and engineering wealth inequality to benefit the few, have built up over decades like flood waters behind a weakening levee. When the levee breaks the morally bankrupt criminal social order will be swept away in the raging torrent to follow.

    Winter will eventually turn into Spring, but it might be a bitter, gloomy, austere Spring. Every Fourth Turning brings on forecasts of imminent doom, but that is also a trait of Prophet (Trump, Clinton) Generations. It’s how they feel about the prospects of their imminent die off; they expect the entire world to go with them. The 2008 financial crisis was horrific, scary and an eye opener for those who blindly believed what they were told by their establishment zoo keepers. The regeneracy has begun; trust in the system has further disintegrated; this presidential election has further deepened this distrust of the entrenched establishment; and the coming bust for stocks, bonds, and real estate will knock out the supports for the dwindling remaining trust in this crooked system.

    “This might result in a Great Devaluation, a severe drop in the market price of most financial and real assets. This devaluation could be a short but horrific panic, a free-falling price in a market with no buyers. Or it could be a series of downward ratchets linked to political events that sequentially knock the supports out from under the residual popular trust in the system. As assets devalue, trust will further disintegrate, which will cause assets to devalue further, and so on.”

    Eventually, all of America’s lesser problems will combine into one giant problem. The very survival of the society will feel at stake, as leaders lead and people follow. The emergent society may be something better, a nation that sustains its Framers’ visions with a robust new pride. Or it may be something unspeakably worse. The Fourth Turning will be a time of glory or ruin.” Strauss & Howe The Fourth Turning

    The next ten or so years will be atonement for decades of bad choices, corrupt leadership, living beyond our means, waging wars of choice across the globe, believing blatant falsehoods, exhibiting willful ignorance, ignoring facts, and failing to uphold the Constitution. Don’t think you can escape the consequences of this Fourth Turning. It doesn’t matter whether you lived according to a moral code, avoided debt, worked hard, paid taxes, and generally lived an upstanding honorable life.

    The death and destruction headed our way will engulf the innocent as well as the guilty. I’m reminded of the penultimate scene in Clint Eastwood’s dark, brooding, vengeful western Unforgiven when Little Bill Daggett laments to “killer of women and children” William Munny that he doesn’t deserve to die this way. Munny responds, “deserves got nothin’ to do with it.” Then he pulls the trigger. This is the kind of future we will be dealing with, whether we like it or not.

    In Part Two of this article I will use recent polling data to assess where the most likely sparks will arise to start the civil war conflagration which will accelerate the crumbling of the American Empire. To reinforce the obvious, Fourth Turnings NEVERde-intensify. They end after the spilling of much blood, incomprehensible destruction and the total defeat of the vanquished.


  7. #7
    Join Date
    Oct 2008

    In Part One of this article I laid out the case against the criminal establishment and how the regeneracy is being driven by the anti-establishment sentiment sweeping across the land. This atonement Fourth Turning will de-establish decade’s worth of delusional decisions. This election has destroyed the last vestiges of trust in this fraudulent system.

    This dysfunctional rigged presidential election reflects the tearing of the civic fabric at points of maximum susceptibility. As a country we have neglected, denied, or delayed necessary action on a plethora of vital issues threatening our long term viability as a nation. The deferral of difficult painful decisions has been a ploy of the ruling class, allowing them to further siphon the wealth of a dying empire, while maintaining control over the masses through laws, regulations, taxes, surveillance, intimidation, technology bread and circuses, and mainstream media propaganda.

    This is a country truly divided, much along the lines of the first Civil War. The divisions aren’t just along political party lines, but race, education, geography, gender, age, class, religion and ability to think critically. The presidential polls (IBD) reveal many of these divisions clearly:

    Race: Whites – 52% Trump; 37% Clinton
    Blacks/Hispanics – 14% Trump; 74% Clinton
    Education: High School/Some College – 54% Trump; 35% Clinton
    College Degree or More – 37% Trump; 51% Clinton
    Geography: Urban – 31% Trump; 60% Clinton
    Suburban – 43% Trump; 43% Clinton
    Rural – 55% Trump; 35% Clinton
    Gender: Male – 50% Trump; 38% Clinton
    Female – 39% Trump; 50% Clinton
    Age: Young – 37% Trump; 46% Clinton
    Middle Aged – 47% Trump; 45% Clinton
    Old – 48% Trump; 43% Clinton
    Class: Upper – 40% Trump; 52% Clinton
    Middle – 44% Trump, 43% Clinton
    Working – 50% Trump; 41% Clinton
    Lower – 20% Trump; 57% Clinton
    Religion: Religious – 49% Trump; 41% Clinton
    Non- Religious – 25% Trump; 63% Clinton

    The narrative used against Trump is women won’t vote for him. The IBD data proves that unequivocally false. White women favor Trump 46% to 41% over Clinton. It’s the racial divide in this country which is borne out by the data above. Uneducated blacks and Hispanics living in urban ghettos with household income under $30,000 are overwhelmingly the primary constituent of Clinton and the Democratic Party.

    They subsist on entitlements doled out to them by Democrat benefactors who have successfully enslaved them in welfare dependency, while keeping them uninformed through government run indoctrination centers. They continue to vote for their continued enslavement because they have lost their self-respect and hope for a better life. These are the people demanding more as compensation for their skin color, while being egged on by our first black president. The rural and suburban whites are content watching from afar as blacks murder each other in the Democrat controlled “gun free” urban ghettos, but if they try to bring their social justice demands into white gun owning America, shit will get ugly real fast.

    Clinton has an odd coalition of supporters, as college educated, upper class, high income Americans support her over Trump. This is where her status quo establishment credentials are revealed. She is a big business, Wall Street bank, military industrial complex candidate for no change. Neo-cons, bankers, globalists, academics, and others sucking off the government teat, support any candidate who will sustain their rackets. The Wikileaks revelations and FBI disclosures exposed the sordid underbelly of liberal politicians and a fawning discredited media.

    It seems conspiracy theorists were right all along. Politicians collude with the media, rig elections, lie to the public, smear their opponents, and break laws without remorse or shame. The American public’s view of career politicians and the smarmy media talking heads is now at an all-time low. The regeneracy is being driven by this warranted mistrust for all things establishment.

    Next week we will know whether a regime change has taken place. A Trump presidency would surely mark a drastic transformation from the existing decrepit social order. But the Deep State is not going to relinquish their power, wealth and control without a fight to the finish. They will activate all of their remaining allies on Wall Street, in the media, running government bureaucracies, and running the military industrial complex to stonewall and defeat Trump’s agenda. If that fails, they will attempt to assassinate him.

    A Clinton win would aggravate the building societal pressures, as the Trump supporters and most of the young Sanders supporters would refuse to recognize her as their president. She would assume power while under investigation by the FBI and Congress. The poisoned atmosphere in Washington D.C. would lead to a Constitutional crisis. Would her sociopathic nature lead her to start a war with Russia to distract attention from her criminality? The election of either candidate is likely to trigger events leading to Civil War II.

    “This new regime will enthrone itself for the duration of the Crisis. Regardless of its ideology, that new leadership will assert public authority and demand private sacrifice. Regardless of its ideology, that new leadership will assert public authority and demand private sacrifice. Where leaders had once been inclined to alleviate societal pressures, they will now aggravate them to command the nation’s attention. The regeneracy will be solidly under way.” – The Fourth Turning – Strauss & Howe

    No matter who wins the election, they will not have anything approaching a mandate. There are 219 million eligible voters in the U.S. Only 125 million or so will actually vote on November 8. The winner will likely chalk up about 58 million votes. Therefore, almost 75% of eligible voters in the country will not have voted for the next president. The country is as fractured as it was in 1860. The polling data reveals the major fractures.

    The upper class is perfectly fine with things as they are because they own most of the financial assets, work directly or indirectly for the Deep State, or depend upon the government and/or Wall Street for their bloated salaries and bonuses. If you’re winning the class war, why would you want to change anything? It’s hard not to win when the game is rigged in your favor by your fellow .1% cronies. As Buffett noted, it is a class war and his class is winning. The lower classes are too ignorant and dependent upon the state for their survival to seek any change – other than protesting or rioting for more free shit.

    It’s the demoralized, disillusioned, angry working middle class who have been pillaged by the ruling class through taxes, outsourcing their jobs, and Federal Reserve created inflation. With real median household income languishing at 1989 levels, it’s those in the middle who have lost the most. The 0% interest rates have punished senior citizens and middle class savers, while $3 trillion of QE benefited financial industry millionaires. The next financial collapse, which is baked into the cake, initiated by the policies designed to benefit the .1%, will push class warfare into the streets.

    The revelation in the polling data which is likely to drive the next chapter of this Crisis is the huge disparity in voting preference between white, married, rural, religious households and the urban, black, fatherless households, along with the white single non-religious households. The Black Lives Matter movement represents the first cohort, while the social justice warriors represent the second cohort.
    It was white middle aged married couples with children who were the backbone of this country from its founding until the 1970s. The husband went to work at the factory or office, the wife raised the children, and they went to church as a family on Sundays to give thanks for their blessings. They worked hard, helped their neighbors, volunteered, saved for a rainy day, disliked debt, required little if anything from the government, and lived peaceful moral lives. Until the 1960’s most black families lived similar existences.
    The traditional family unit has been under assault for decades by liberals. The media bombardment about personal fulfillment, egocentric glorification, materialism, and status has been aimed at undermining the family, keeping the masses in debt, and making more people dependent upon the state. The welfare state, initiated in the 1960s, has led to the ghettofication and enslavement of blacks.
    The warped welfare system encourages fatherless homes, dependency rather than self-reliance, loss of self respect, and learned ignorance. The traditional family unit is scorned and ridiculed, despite centuries of proof it is the best method for economic advancement and cultural stability. This continued attack from liberal politicians, soulless corporations, elitist academics, and depraved media has pushed the white working middle class to the maximum limit of their tolerance.
    With the Soros backed Black Lives Matter terrorist organization creating havoc across America and spurring black men to slaughter police officers, they have pushed their Obama inspired reparations agenda too far. If they venture far from their Democrat created and run urban ghettos into white rural America they would encounter legal gun owners who can shoot straight.
    The race war would be over quickly with no doubt regarding the winners. Conservative and moderate whites are sick and tired of the liberal agenda of black victimhood. Their response to the black community is: stop having 75% of your children out of wedlock, open a book, get educated, and get a job. Life is hard. Get used to it. No one is owed anything.
    Whites are also tired of the left wing politically correct phraseology which changes an illegal immigrant into an undocumented immigrant. If you came here illegally, you broke the law, and you’re a criminal. Deportation is the consequence of your crime. Opening our borders to an influx of illegal South American immigrants, potential Syrian terrorists, and others who don’t believe in our values is a recipe for disaster.

    They don’t learn our language, integrate into our communities, and increase the stress on our already fraying social safety net. When you already have $200 trillion of unfunded welfare obligations, why would you willingly add to that unpayable debt? Conservative whites believe in living within our means, the rule of law, and the Constitution.

    The other flashpoint likely to ignite is the pushback against the belligerent social justice warrior class. White working class families watch as delicate academic sensibilities are triggered by the use of words they don’t like. Hate speech becomes any speech liberals disagree with. Watching spineless university administrators cower at the approach of vitriolic screeching social justice bullies is met with disgust and bemusement by white normal Americans.

    Bending over backwards to meet the demands of degenerates, freaks, feminazis and psychopaths for new rights is seen as repugnant by average working class Americans. Their perverted agenda doesn’t matter to people trying to raise kids and pay their bills. Average Americans are tired of this shit. The pushback will be sudden and violent, when it comes.

    It is clearly apparent to me this Fourth Turning’s primary driving force will be the domestic conflict between the Deep State establishment, the deplorables, and irreconcilable factions within the country. To linear thinkers, self-proclaimed progressives, corrupt politicians, subservient government workers, myopic media and those reliant upon the government for their sustenance, the thought of civil war in the United States is inconceivable.

    Civil disorder would likely occur after a financial collapse of epic proportions. With stocks, bonds, and real estate at bubble proportions, interest rates already at zero, the country already in recession, inflation rising, deficits poised to breach $1 trillion per year over the next decade, Obamacare imploding, and real incomes stagnant, the coming economic implosion will make 2008 look like a walk in the park.

    Once a chaotic financial collapse gets underway, it will be near impossible to stem the tide. Think back to the chaotic days of September 2008. Our $60 trillion of total credit market debt won’t matter until it matters. The cascade of bad debts will evaporate the remaining trust in our financial system.

    Whether by accident or due to cyber-attack, a breakdown in our electronic based economic system in which store shelves go empty, fuel becomes scarce, and the electronic transfer of welfare benefits ceases, would create mass chaos in the streets. The 300 million guns in this country would get some use. Revenge, retribution and settling scores would be the order of the day.

    With our just in time supply chain, a grid failure or breakdown of electronic ordering, payment and communication would bring the nation to its knees within one week. Millions would perish within a few weeks. Our civilized society would become uncivilized overnight. The downside of a society that stresses individualism over community would be borne out.

    Cooperation, teamwork and shared sacrifice would be required to survive. The government would attempt to utilize the military and national guard to maintain order. A large portion of the country would rightfully blame the government and the corrupt establishment for causing the collapse. With their families also starving and no means of getting paid, will police, national guardsmen and the military continue obeying the orders of government leaders who caused the collapse?

    Either due to the financial collapse or more overreach by the Federal government, the possibility of secession is real. It’s been attempted before and the conflict was bloody and earth shattering. There really are two Americas. The east and west coasts are dominated by the liberal elites who look down their noses upon the flyover country of ignorant deplorables. The .1% mostly resides in gated enclaves, penthouse suites, and luxury beachfront mansions.

    They show nothing but contempt and disdain for the average American, living in Middle America or the South. The feeling is mutual amongst the working class towards the liberal elites who rule the country. Most of the 300 million guns are concentrated in the Midwest and South. With this amount of firepower and millions of Americans with nothing left to lose, those attempting to retain power will be at a distinct disadvantage. I believe armed vigilantes will hunt down those responsible for the destruction of the American economy and invoke their own justice.

    As trust in government and institutions wanes and economic hardship deepens, the issue of states’ rights is likely to gain traction amongst a large swath of the critical thinking citizenry. The animosity between factions in this country is at historic levels. Large swaths of the country feel no kinship to the elitists on the coasts.

    Civil war, secession, and the nation breaking into sectional regions of common benefits are unlikely to occur until the existing social order collapses under the weight of un-payable obligations. That time is approaching rapidly. The existing social order will be replaced by something new, but not necessarily better. That will depend on the choices we make and the leaders we follow.

    “The risk of catastrophe will be very high. The nation could erupt into insurrection or civil violence, crack up geographically, or succumb to authoritarian rule. If there is a war, it is likely to be one of maximum risk and effort – in other words, a total war. Every Fourth Turning has registered an upward ratchet in the technology of destruction, and in mankind’s willingness to use it.” – Strauss & Howe – The Fourth Turning

    No matter who wins the election next week, turmoil and trouble will befall our crumbling empire of debt. The three drivers of this Fourth Turning – debt, civic decay, global disorder – will continue to provide the impetus for change, conflict and the sweeping away of the morally bankrupt establishment. The empire builders planted the seeds of their own destruction. Their arrogance and hubris led them to abscond with too much, promise far more goodies than they could possibly deliver, execute military overreach – bankrupting the country and creating enemies across the globe.

    The zombie economy is moribund, the productive people have been pillaged, and the bread and circus act is running on fumes. The American welfare/warfare state is crumbling. The ruling elite are desperate. They don’t want their Ponzi scheme to end, but they always fail. It’s a confidence game, and the game is over. The economic crisis is foreseeable to anyone with their eyes open. This empire will crumble and fall, just as others before throughout history.

    Darkness has descended upon our land. Storm clouds gather on the horizon. All generations have played a part in the catastrophe that lies before us. This is what happens during Fourth Turnings. Everyone in our crumbling empire will need to atone for its sins, whether they deserve to or not. Life isn’t fair.

    Each individual needs to get their shit together now. Each generation’s rendezvous with destiny awaits. There are no guarantees. The myth of American Exceptionalism will not protect us from the choices we’ve made. We are not the shining city on the hill. God will not shield us from the consequences of our actions. The fall of the American empire will be painful, but it doesn’t have to be fatal. Our choices will matter.

    “But Empire building also bears the seeds of its own destruction. The closer a state comes to the ultimate goal of world domination and one-world government, the less reason is there to maintain its internal liberalism and do instead what all states are inclined to do anyway, i.e., to crack down and increase their exploitation of whatever productive people are still left.

    Consequently, with no additional tributaries available and domestic productivity stagnating or falling, the Empire’s internal policies of bread and circuses can no longer be maintained. Economic crisis hits, and an impending economic meltdown will stimulate decentralizing tendencies, separatist and secessionist movements, and lead to the break-up of Empire. We have seen this happen with Great Britain, and we are seeing it now, with the US and its Empire apparently on its last leg.” – Hans-Hermann Hoppe


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