Analysis and predictions by Shuzheng. His analysis reaffirm our points about the existence of the UMNO War Machine.Originally Posted by pywong
Twenty-two years of Mahathir Mohamad and six under Abdullah Badawi, Malaysia has finally reached the precipice. The methods might be haphazard, but in twenty-eight years, especially in the last years of Mahathir’s rule, there had been a covert, single minded purpose to construct a system to replace the constitutional version. You wouldn’t have known this was happening, except that the signs of the new construction couldn’t be hidden and its results could be tested only publicly.
(a) In 1988 – Mahathir sacked Chief Justice Tun Salleh Abas and a number of other top judges, opening the way for a slew of new appointments so it wouldn’t be difficult to imagine who he might pick for the vacant slots.
(b) In 1993 – Mahathir removed legal immunities against the monarchy.
(c) In 1998 – Mahathir arrested Anwar and this bought him five more years in power to 2003. Anwar represented a pivotal Umno party link between grassroot politics and the elite institutions Mahathir headed.
(d) In 2002 – V.K. Lingam reported (without him knowing it) how he had been and was continuing to fix the judicial Bench, from top down, and this meant it had been going on for a year or two before the recorded phone conversation.
(e) In 2005 – Musa Hassan, the senior CID man leading the criminal arrest and interrogation of Anwar, was appointed deputy IGP, No. 2 in the police. A year later, he was made IGP.
(f) In 2008 – Badawi appoints Umno man Zaki Azmi as Chief Justice, finally rounding the circle and connecting the dots from the political party Umno to the executive government (specially the Prime Minister’s office) and the judiciary.
(g) In 2009, May 7 – The police invade the Perak legislature, seizing from Pakatan Rakyat its control and handing power over to Umno.
(h) In 2009, May 12 – Zambry Kadir of Umno is removed by the High Court as Perak chief minister and reinstalls Pakatan’s Nazir Jamaluddin. The next day the superior court judge Ramly Ali, the same name mentioned by Lingam, stops the High Court. On May 14, Nazir’s lawyers are told they won’t receive Ramly’s written judgement, which is also to say he need offer no rationale for his decision.
All this is to say:
(1) All matters of politics, including the legislature, will from this year be settled in the courtrooms so putting to test the new system Mahathir had initiated and Badawi had cemented and left behind.
(2) There is only one system, not two. The constitutional system that supposedly exist (suggested here) alongside the new one is to all intents and purposes dead, and replaced. Zambry’s removal by the High Court is a displacement of his appointment by the Perak sultan who is supposed to have the ultimate and constitutional prerogative on the matter, yet Umno is silent.
(3) The new system has been tested at multiple levels. At ground, consider the murder of A Kugan inside a police station. At a higher level, the police lent armed force to Umno to seize the Perak legislature. In both cases, the police and Umno lawmakers have become one, each serving the other. It is a test of the judiciary’s turn now.
(4) Once Umno succeeds and gets away with Perak, the seizure of constitutional rule and the coup against legislature would be complete. Power will reside solely on a clique, centred in the Prime Minister’s office from where orders flow. Two repercussions:
(4a) In the future event that Pakatan is anywhere near to taking federal power, it will face a circle of defense, the judicial Bench being the key. Conversely, it will face aggression by the police. How far and how deep this new system acquires muscles, while tying up the seams, now depends on the suggested meeting between Pakatan’s Anwar Ibrahim and prime minister Najib Razak. Any such meeting is a half-step to giving legitimacy to the new system. And anything other than immediate elections in Perak fully legitimises it and so give the clique of elites some space to properly tie the seams.
(4b) Commerce and trade remain as hostages to the political paralysis; people look for work that are non-existent; the children starve; and, the epidemic of crime continues, the police stand with arms folded raising them only to offer pious speeches and pointless remedies. (Understand that the crime epidemic did not begin for no reason; police incompetency is only one, and the police was in the thick of constructing the new system over the last decade.) The new system is too busy finding firm ground where, right now, there is effectively only minimal government. Meanwhile, the chattering class (bloggers in particular) throws another party, toast to each other, hail their chief Mahathir Mohamad, and bow at his feet.
In the New System, You’re On Your Own
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